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Caravel Forum : Other Boards : Forum Games : The Wrath of Watch the Bar VII: The Final Click (...and TSS Skywatcher congratulations!)
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OneMoreNameless
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The coin they flipped when deciding whether to increment the count today or not landed on its edge?
05-30-2013 at 09:43 AM
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hyperme
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59%!

Almost 60%. So much advancement!

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[Last edited by hyperme at 05-30-2013 08:17 PM]
05-30-2013 at 08:17 PM
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rman
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icon Re: The Wrath of Watch the Bar VII: The Final Click (+1)  
Method 1: 300 days (August 3, 2012 to May 30, 2013) ÷ 45.5% (13.5% to 59%) = 6.593 days/% (previously 6.614)
⇒ end in 270 days, i. e. on February 24, 2014 (previously February 26, 2014).

Method 2: 400 days (April 25, 2012 to May 30, 2013) ÷ 59% (0% to 59%) = 6.780 days/% (previously exactly 6.8)
⇒ end in 278 days, i. e. on March 4, 2014 (previously March 6, 2014).

Method 3: 191 days (November 20, 2012 to May 30, 2013) ÷ 43% (16% to 59%) = 4.442 days/% (previously 4.386)
⇒ end in 182 days, i. e. on November 28, 2013 (previously November 23, 2013).

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05-30-2013 at 08:30 PM
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mrimer
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The Architest wrote:
I have my own theories readied. :)
Ha! Based on precedent, I can guess what some of these might be. I'll jump in here for some preemptive debunking. :)

We're not trying to squish more into the game than we originally planned. There's going to be plenty of content already, and we're not queuing up any more. We're doing some careful editing as it is in order to get the story and pacing right.

We're not falling behind and having to start representing updates in smaller increments.

We're not taking the Caravel server out for a joyride.

This update is basically due to one of the deliverables landing on its side, and it finally tipped onto its head (or tail? ouch--both sound painful) today.

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05-30-2013 at 09:17 PM
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Schik
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mrimer wrote:
We're not taking the Caravel server out for a joyride.
Speak for yourself! :bike

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05-30-2013 at 09:42 PM
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mrimer
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Yikes!

Looks like the bar is coming up on a spot of turbulence. Hold on to your holds, folks.

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05-30-2013 at 11:50 PM
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12th Archivist
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59.25%!

Something is about to has just happened!

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06-02-2013 at 07:51 AM
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59.3 % !
Oh, since when the bar uses also the .3% ?

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06-02-2013 at 10:32 PM
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Red-XIII wrote:
59.3 % !
Oh, since when the bar uses also the .3% ?
Not anymore, apparently, it being 59.35% now.

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06-03-2013 at 02:37 AM
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navithmastero
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Well it's at 59.4 now!

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06-03-2013 at 07:45 AM
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Godot23
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12th Archivist wrote:
Red-XIII wrote:
59.3 % !
Oh, since when the bar uses also the .3% ?
Not anymore, apparently, it being 59.35% now.
Such odd numbers make me shudder... :fish
Sorry. I love fishies.

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06-03-2013 at 12:43 PM
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Chaco
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Well, it's 59.4% now. Apparently Caravel has improved the precision of their measurements - we're getting more frequent, small improvements rather than waiting a week for a large percentage chunk.

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06-03-2013 at 02:48 PM
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Godot23
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Chaco wrote:
Well, it's 59.4% now. Apparently Caravel has improved the precision of their measurements - we're getting more frequent, small improvements rather than waiting a week for a large percentage chunk.

Makes it more suspenseful in some ways though... It's nice though that it is more exact.

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06-03-2013 at 02:50 PM
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navithmastero
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59.75%

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06-03-2013 at 06:46 PM
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Ezlo
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59.85%

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06-04-2013 at 03:25 PM
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stigant
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60%

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06-04-2013 at 06:27 PM
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rman
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Method 1: 305 days (August 3, 2012 to June 4, 2013) ÷ 46.5% (13.5% to 60%) = 6.559 days/% (previously 6.593)
⇒ end in 262 days, i. e. on February 21, 2014 (previously February 24, 2014).

Method 2: 405 days (April 25, 2012 to June 4, 2013) ÷ 60% (0% to 60%) = 6.750 days/% (previously 6.780)
⇒ end in 270 days, i. e. on March 1, 2014 (previously March 4, 2014).

Method 3: 196 days (November 20, 2012 to June 4, 2013) ÷ 44% (16% to 60%) = 4.455 days/% (previously 4.442)
⇒ end in 178 days, i. e. on November 29, 2013 (previously November 28, 2013).

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06-04-2013 at 08:17 PM
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robin
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yeah, 60.1%

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06-05-2013 at 06:36 AM
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60.1%!

Things are going really fast now?

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06-05-2013 at 06:36 AM
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Penwielder
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60.25%

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06-05-2013 at 06:51 PM
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Nuntar
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Godot23 wrote:
Chaco wrote:
Well, it's 59.4% now. Apparently Caravel has improved the precision of their measurements - we're getting more frequent, small improvements rather than waiting a week for a large percentage chunk.
Makes it more suspenseful in some ways though... It's nice though that it is more exact.
Though it does make it frustrating to be missing out on most of the rankpoint bonanza because of being in a different timezone.

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06-05-2013 at 08:40 PM
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Nuntar
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Anyway. Sixty and a half.

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06-06-2013 at 06:30 PM
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mrimer
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Nuntar wrote:
Though it does make it frustrating to be missing out on most of the rankpoint bonanza because of being in a different timezone.
I'd be interested to see a histogram of time-of-day for when bar increases are posted here. I'll bet there's a wide spread of hours.

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I am Gandalf the White.
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06-06-2013 at 09:27 PM
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TripleM
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File: barupdates.png (3.8 KB)
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(Hours are NZT, so shift based on your timezone :))

[Last edited by TripleM at 06-07-2013 02:25 AM]
06-07-2013 at 02:25 AM
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TripleM
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Also, 60.75. (My prediction method is now saying 22 November.)
06-07-2013 at 02:33 AM
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mrimer
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Hey, it's the Golden Gate Bridge!

Either that, or a snake that ate an elephant a while ago.

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Gandalf? Yes... That's what they used to call me.
Gandalf the Grey. That was my name.
I am Gandalf the White.
And I come back to you now at the turn of the tide.

[Last edited by mrimer at 06-07-2013 07:57 AM]
06-07-2013 at 07:56 AM
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Nuntar
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Sixty-one! :D

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06-10-2013 at 05:56 PM
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rman
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Method 1: 311 days (August 3, 2012 to June 10, 2013) ÷ 47.5% (13.5% to 61%) = 6.547 days/% (previously 6.559)
⇒ end in 255 days, i. e. on February 20, 2014 (previously February 21, 2014).

Method 2: 411 days (April 25, 2012 to June 10, 2013) ÷ 61% (0% to 61%) = 6.738 days/% (previously 6.750)
⇒ end in 263 days, i. e. on February 28, 2014 (previously March 1, 2014).

Method 3: 202 days (November 20, 2012 to June 10, 2013) ÷ 45% (16% to 61%) = 4.489 days/% (previously 4.455)
⇒ end in 175 days, i. e. on December 2, 2013 (previously November 29, 2013).

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06-10-2013 at 06:05 PM
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hyperme
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61.1%

Progress continues, with even smaller progressions of the bar.

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06-11-2013 at 05:19 PM
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Someone Else
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I'm feeling a bit worried about Zeno here.
06-11-2013 at 09:24 PM
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