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Caravel Forum : Caravel Boards : Contests : Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (Predict what turn # that will be!)
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techant
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icon Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (+2)  
2 New sub-contest:

How are you at predicting complicated situtions? Then join us in predicting the time and the turn number of the end of the Snakes to the Death contest. The Snakes to the Death contest is the offical contest for August 2006. But while you wait for your next 10 moves to play out or as you watch grass grow, try figuring out how long it will take everyone but one snake to die.


Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end.

See http://forum.caravelgames.com/viewtopic.php?TopicID=11482 for the game.
Remember to adjust for your time zone or state your time zone. So tell us the time and you time zone or we will assume it is my time zone Pacific Standard Time.

Predict what turn it will be went there is only one living snake left and we have a winner.

As Erik said so much better than I," the exact thing we are predicting is the time when just one living snake will be present in the snakepit? Also, the pit is updated on even hours although the script might take a minute or so to do its business. So perhaps we could round down the exact time to the start of the even hour."

Updates to rules:
There have been some good points made and some questions asked so here is the updates to the rules.

1.) Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. What the date and the exact hour is, rounded down to the start of the even hour where there is only one snake left. Guess what turn number that is as well, (example: on January 9, 2007 turn 10000 which started at 2:00pm pst and ends at 3:59pm pst the last snake dies, so the winng guess would be turn 10001 and 4:00pm pst on January 9, 2007.

2.) You may Enter as many times as you like but you last entry is the one I will count. So there is only one valid entry per person of a date and time and one of a turn number. Two entries total but one of each kind.

3.) Entry time closes on Sept 1,2006 at 4:00pm PST
(after that we should all be busy figthing for our lives)
________________________________________________________________
Insert of timezone adjusted time:
Local Time:09-02-2006 at 12:00 AM

The above time is shown in whatever timezone is set for your account. You may want to check your profile to make certain your timezone is set correctly. Then all the times related to the contest will be shown accurately for you. !(code and text borrowed from Erik, thanks)
_________________________________________________________________

4.) Any time guesses without time zones will be considered as PST by default.

Winner Gets
I have 10 mod points for the first person who gets the day and hour right and 10 mod points for the first person who picks the right turn number. You could end up with 20 mod points!:w00t
~**~
As is often said by someone who will go unnamed - GameOn

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[Last edited by techant at 08-24-2006 08:44 AM : instert timezone adjustment time]
08-19-2006 at 08:37 PM
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ErikH2000
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
To avoid disputes later, maybe we could agree that the exact thing we are predicting is the time when just one living snake will be present in the snakepit? Also, the pit is updated on even hours although the script might take a minute or so to do its business. So perhaps we could round down the exact time to the start of the even hour. But it's Techant's contest, so I'll let her decide.

Anyhow, my prediction for the above event is:

Local Time:09-16-2006 at 01:00 AM

Which is also when I'll be having my birthday party. Hmm. Maybe I should reschedule the birthday party so I'm not busy when the contest ends. ;)

-Erik

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08-19-2006 at 08:48 PM
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ErikH2000
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
Oh, also, when is the latest that people can make predictions, Techant?

-Erik

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08-19-2006 at 08:49 PM
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michthro
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
hmmm... I'm going to go for the end of September.
30-09-2006 14:00 GMT
I'm probably going to change my mind in the next couple of days. Will I be allowed to?
08-19-2006 at 09:37 PM
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techant
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icon techant (0)  
quote:
ErikH2000 wrote:
Oh, also, when is the latest that people can make predictions, Techant?

-Erik


Lets say September 1, 2006 at 4:00pm pst

--
:blush I don't know how to set it so it shows what that is in your time zone but it is Sept. 1 at the same hour the contest started.

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[Last edited by techant at 08-20-2006 12:22 AM]
08-20-2006 at 12:05 AM
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Bunches
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
4:00 EST on September 3rd.
08-20-2006 at 12:41 AM
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techant
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
:lol Bunches, I love your advatar!

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08-20-2006 at 12:44 AM
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Bunches
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
Thanks, it's a picture of my puppet, Bunches. The colors are inverted though. Guess the room on the computer!

[Last edited by Bunches at 08-20-2006 12:46 AM]
08-20-2006 at 12:46 AM
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Chaco
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
The colors aren't inverted Bunches - reinverting them doesn't lead to an image with "correct" colors.

I tried looking at the screen, but without correct colors and at that size it was very difficult for me to determine the correct room. As far as I can tell it's a trapdoor puzzle, but which one I cannot say.

My guess is turn 7500.

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[Last edited by Chaco at 08-20-2006 05:06 PM]
08-20-2006 at 05:06 PM
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eytanz
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
quote:
Chaco wrote:
The colors aren't inverted Bunches - reinverting them doesn't lead to an image with "correct" colors.




Yeah it does. At least if you use RGB inversion.


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08-20-2006 at 05:10 PM
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techant
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
quote:
Bunches wrote:
Thanks, it's a picture of my puppet, Bunches. The colors are inverted though. Guess the room on the computer!


I thought it was the snake contest. :lol

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08-20-2006 at 05:26 PM
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tokyokid
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
I'd say turn 2200 ;)

[Last edited by tokyokid at 08-20-2006 05:30 PM]
08-20-2006 at 05:30 PM
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Someone Else
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (+10)  
09-20-2006 12:00 MST
08-21-2006 at 06:11 PM
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Lst6
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
I say it will end on the 16th September 12:00 am GMT time
And it will be turn 157

Edit: I'm out, guessed way to low.

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[Last edited by Lst6 at 09-18-2006 10:22 AM]
08-21-2006 at 06:17 PM
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Rabscuttle
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
I will say turn 289 (because I can't be bothered working out when that will be)
08-24-2006 at 05:29 AM
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NiroZ
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
250 sounds like a good time

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08-24-2006 at 10:01 AM
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jjohn7418
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
I'm going to guess: September 7th at 6:00 PM EST
and move number 216

Edit: Read rules again and saw it was supossed to be an even hour: changed from 5:30 PM to 6:00 PM :Edit

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[Last edited by jjohn7418 at 08-28-2006 08:47 PM : Rounded off time for guess]
08-28-2006 at 08:45 PM
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Ezlo
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
I'm guessing September 15 on turn 200
08-28-2006 at 09:30 PM
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Maurog
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
My guess is September 9th, 10:00am GMT.

and

312 turns.

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08-29-2006 at 04:47 AM
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michthro
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
My updated guess is turn #360.
08-31-2006 at 05:21 PM
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Jason
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (+5)  
September 25 at 6:00 GMT

Turn: 400

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08-31-2006 at 05:28 PM
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techant
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Time is almost up!

Less than 5 hours left to get your guesses in. I know there is still alot of room in that pit so it will be hard to guess but that is the fun part isn't it? :lol



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[Last edited by techant at 10-22-2007 09:57 AM]
09-01-2006 at 07:11 PM
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kie
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
I guess turn no 350
Local Time:09-16-2006 at 12:00 PM

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[Last edited by kie at 09-01-2006 08:53 PM : add time tags]
09-01-2006 at 08:46 PM
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techant
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Well the contest is closed now we just wait and see how it all turns out.

Thanks to everyone who took a try at guessing.

I was away from any computer until now so anyone who squeaked by I will let slide. But no one squeaked by so all is well. :w00t

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[Last edited by techant at 09-02-2006 09:08 AM]
09-02-2006 at 09:07 AM
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techant
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icon Re: Predict what day and time the Snakes to the Death game will end. (0)  
So we have a winner! congratulations michthro!

I was no able to watch the final death blow but my calculations put it at turn 401, if someone has a different turn number please let me know.

That puts it at Wednesday Sept. 20, 2006 at 10 am PST

The Guesses were:

ErikH2000 09-15-2006 5:00PM
michthro 30-09-2006 14:00 GMT
Bunches 4:00 EST on September 3rd
Chaco turn 7500
tokyokid turn 2200
Someone Else 09-20-2006 12:00 MST
Lst6 16th September 12:00 am GMT time turn 157
Rabscuttle turn 289
NiroZ turn 250
jjohn7418 September 7th at 6:00 PM EST move number 216
Ezlo September 15 on turn 200
Maurog September 9th, 10:00am GMT. and 312 turns
michthro My updated guess is turn #360
Jason September 25 at 6:00 GMT Turn: 400
kie 09-16-2006 4:00AM turn 350

Someone Else got the right day and time it looks like, but I calculate 12:00 MST as 11:00 PST which is in the middle of turn 401 which went from 10:00 PST to 12:00 PST.
congratulations Someone Else I will wait 1 day (so comments can be made) and then give you your 10 mod points if my calculation of 401 is correct.

Someone Else 09-20-2006 12:00 MST

No one got the exact turn number but Jason was only 1 turn off so I have am giving him 5 mod points for getting so close. I am waiting to confirm my calculations on the turn number until tomarrow.

Jason September 25 at 6:00 GMT Turn: 400

Thanks to all who made a guess I plan to give everyone a mod point just for guessing, :D

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[Last edited by techant at 09-21-2006 01:30 AM]
09-21-2006 at 01:27 AM
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