bomber50
Level: Smitemaster
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96.7!

Can't wait for TSS!

hyperme
Level: Smitemaster

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97.1%

The Second Sky, coming soon. For actual values of soon, I hear!

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Qzvlkx?

The spitemaster
Level: Smiter
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So fast!!!

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I met a man that wasn't there
He wasn't there again today
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Red-XIII
Level: Smitemaster

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99.75?%? Even if it's 1/04 the jump might be real xD

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There's not some other world out there where everything's gonna be okay.
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RyTracer
Level: Delver

Rank Points: 86
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Well, it wasn't Mountain Time apparently.

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The Architest
Level: Master Delver

Rank Points: 254
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Gosh, I wish I had ordered it earlier; now I have to wait until the transfer is done.

rman
Level: Smiter

Rank Points: 371
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Assuming this huge jump is real, and not an April Fools’ joke, here’s the final prediction:

Method 1: 606 days (August 3, 2012 to April 1, 2014) ÷ 86.25% (13.5% to 99.75%) = 7.026 days/%
⇒ end in 2 days, i. e. on April 3, 2014.

Method 2: 706 days (April 25, 2012 to April 1, 2014) ÷ 99.75% (0% to 99.75%) = 7.078 days/%
⇒ end in 2 days, i. e. on April 3, 2014.

Method 3: 497 days (November 20, 2012 to April 1, 2014) ÷ 83.75% (16% to 99.75%) = 5.934 days/%
⇒ end in 1 day, i. e. on April 2, 2014.

Method 4: 153 days (October 30, 2013 to April 1, 2014) ÷ 12.65% (87.1% to 99.75%) = 12.095 days/%
⇒ end in 3 days, i. e. on April 4, 2014.


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Best quote ever (TSS ending spoiler):

Pinnacle
Level: Smitemaster

Rank Points: 1129
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So was the whole "April 1 is unlikely" thing a sort of reverse April Fools' Day joke?

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Once (adv.): Enough.
Twice (adv.): Once too often.
~Ambrose Bierce, The Devil's Dictionary

Kwerulous
Level: Smiter
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I did wonder (and hope) that...

bomber50
Level: Smitemaster
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Pinnacle wrote:
So was the whole "April 1 is unlikely" thing a sort of reverse April Fools' Day joke?

Or a reverse reverse April Fools' Day joke.

Pinnacle
Level: Smitemaster

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So what exactly is the last 0.25%? Just release candidate testing?

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Once (adv.): Enough.
Twice (adv.): Once too often.
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stigant
Level: Smitemaster

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So what exactly is the last 0.25%? Just release candidate testing?

Spend, oh, 4.5 hours inventing a bar-oriented time machine to take us back to yesterday.

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Vike91
Level: Master Delver

Rank Points: 230
Registered: 05-19-2007
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The bar is back to 97.15%

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skell
Level: Legendary Smitemaster

Rank Points: 3734
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bomber50 wrote:

Pinnacle wrote:
So was the whole "April 1 is unlikely" thing a sort of reverse April Fools' Day joke?

Or a reverse reverse April Fools' Day joke.

It was so meta.

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Kwerulous
Level: Smiter
Rank Points: 340
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It's okay, it could still be a reverse-reverse-reverse April fool's joke...

Zaratustra00
Level: Master Delver
Rank Points: 107
Registered: 11-12-2004
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Bar's going backwards, now.

rman
Level: Smiter

Rank Points: 371
Registered: 09-24-2007
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Assuming this backward change is real, and not a somewhat late April Fools’ joke:

Method 1: 607 days (August 3, 2012 to April 2, 2014) ÷ 83.65% (13.5% to 97.15%) = 7.256 days/% (previously* 7.164)
⇒ end in 21 days, i. e. on April 23, 2014 (previously* April 15, 2014).

Method 2: 707 days (April 25, 2012 to April 2, 2014) ÷ 97.15% (0% to 97.15%) = 7.277 days/% (previously* 7.198)
⇒ end in 21 days, i. e. on April 23, 2014 (previously* April 15, 2014).

Method 3: 498 days (November 20, 2012 to April 2, 2014) ÷ 81.15% (16% to 97.15%) = 6.137 days/% (previously* 6.025)
⇒ end in 17 days, i. e. on April 19, 2014 (previously* April 10, 2014).

Method 4: 154 days (October 30, 2013 to April 2, 2014) ÷ 10.05% (87.1% to 97.15%) = 15.323 days/% (previously* 15.506)
⇒ end in 44 days, i. e. on May 16, 2014 (previously* May 18, 2014).

* - the prediction for 96%, not the one for 99.75%

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coppro
Level: Smitemaster
Rank Points: 1308
Registered: 11-24-2005
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My prediction is April 1, 2015.

Someone Else
Level: Smitemaster

Rank Points: 1304
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So, it was at 99.75% at 23:34 (according to my clock) on March 31, and dropped back to 97.15% at 00:14 on April 2. That's 24 hours, 40 minutes or 1440 minutes. That makes the reverse progress approximately 0.00180555% per minute, or 55384 total minutes before we drop to 0%. That's less than 37 days from now!
Quick, release it now before it's all deleted!

Pinnacle
Level: Smitemaster

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That fake progress was probably the second-meanest April Fools' prank I've seen.

(the first-meanest is, of course, this.)

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Once (adv.): Enough.
Twice (adv.): Once too often.
~Ambrose Bierce, The Devil's Dictionary

mrimer
Level: Legendary Smitemaster

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The bar lost, like, 9000 percent last year. I guess it's all relative and all about perception.

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Gandalf the Grey. That was my name.
I am Gandalf the White.
And I come back to you now at the turn of the tide.

Red-XIII
Level: Smitemaster

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97.3%!

____________________________
There's not some other world out there where everything's gonna be okay.
There's just this one, just this rock.
-33th Skywatcher

mrimer
Level: Legendary Smitemaster

Rank Points: 5056
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At this point, there's about one-third of the percentage remaining that's devoted to beta testing and applying fixes. Another third is for remaining coding that needs to get done, including preparing the Linux and OS X builds. The final third is for finishing up the new trailer, polishing up the CG web site and for preparing the demo version. We don't necessarily have to get all of this done in order to release *something*, but at this point it's looking like it will all come together more or less at the same time. If we keep a good pace going, with nothing big coming up that delays us, we'll be there in a few more weeks!

____________________________
Gandalf? Yes... That's what they used to call me.
Gandalf the Grey. That was my name.
I am Gandalf the White.
And I come back to you now at the turn of the tide.

---

[Last edited by mrimer at 04-03-2014 02:31 PM]

Someone Else
Level: Smitemaster

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97.4! This... is completely defying my predictions. I have no idea where it'll go from here.

The Architest
Level: Master Delver

Rank Points: 254
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97.45%!

Ziki
Level: Roachling

Rank Points: 11
Registered: 04-05-2012
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97.45% The Remaining 10 days or 14 days Demo version

Red-XIII
Level: Smitemaster

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97.55%!

____________________________
There's not some other world out there where everything's gonna be okay.
There's just this one, just this rock.
-33th Skywatcher

mrimer
Level: Legendary Smitemaster

Rank Points: 5056
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Progress: we have the CG web pages set up and the Challenges system is being wrapped up. Next step: put the OS X and Linux installers together for beta testing.

____________________________
Gandalf? Yes... That's what they used to call me.
Gandalf the Grey. That was my name.
I am Gandalf the White.
And I come back to you now at the turn of the tide.

Vike91
Level: Master Delver

Rank Points: 230
Registered: 05-19-2007
IP: Logged

97.65% !

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Pinnacle
Level: Smitemaster

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97.75%!

____________________________
Once (adv.): Enough.
Twice (adv.): Once too often.
~Ambrose Bierce, The Devil's Dictionary